advise not just for now, but always

Oct 11, 2008,09:38 AM
 

I find much of your advise to be very timely, but with due respect, a bit late for anyone who may have built or added to a collection in the past 24 to 36 months. If they were not being selective, buying used or agressively, and buying what they really, they are a bit trapped now.

My 2 cents:
Have a criteria for all purchases and follow them. I started this 2 years ago as a way of making sure what I bought was really what I wanted. I have 5 criteria including size, functions (date), style, movement, and scarcity.

The last of these, scarcity, is why of my 7 piece watch collection, all are numbered, limited, and/or hard to find.

My MIH is the most distributed watch I own with about 700 (and growing) others in the market. Even with so many others, and the ability to order new still, it has retained much, if not all, it's value. Among the others (a chopard luc, delaloye, UN marine acqua, UN michelagelo), all are from editions of 100 of less, or from limited production makers (speake-marin, sarpanova)

Not all criteria are met each time, but 4 of 5 are at least, and several are limited edition versions of more mass produced watches but the law of supply and demand remain.

The "turn" in the watch business is famous. The collectors market here is fill of "worn twice, like new", "making room for new", etc. I am amazed sometimes by the short-term view that some bring to their collections.

Anyway, my point is that lessons learned in challenging time need to be honored in good times as well. When you start to see these lessons being forgotten, or hearing "it is different this time" you know there is a bubble.

Have a purpose for your collection, and don't make exceptions. Buy for the long term, but like you will have to sell tomorrow so "hedge" you purchase at the time you buy by getting a price that removes depreciation, etc.


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recession,fear,panic..a perspective of the current env and advice for e watch collector

 
 By: raphmeister : October 10th, 2008-23:25
the facts are in the headline news... for this past week - US$6 trillion was wiped out in global markets - US$6 trillion pumped in by governments did little to dent the massive selloff the predictions are foreboding... - unemployment.. loss of jobs and in... 

makes sense..

 
 By: nickybkk : October 11th, 2008-01:55
economies will get worse. R, do you have an email contact

While now is the not the time for panic selling of watches....

 
 By: Ronald Held : October 11th, 2008-04:52
one has to be much more careful about purchasing them, especially at the middle and high end.

The Flip Side

 
 By: eryck.su : October 11th, 2008-06:16
As you said, 2006 and 2007 are banner years for the watch industry. It was a banner year for Wall Street as well, and banner year for everything. That was the height of the bubble. Now that the bubble is burst, maybe, just maybe, retail prices in the indu... 

advise not just for now, but always

 
 By: Watch_time_it_is : October 11th, 2008-09:38

a different perspective, maybe....

 
 By: ed : October 11th, 2008-10:27
IMHO, hot watches will continue to remain sought after and prices will still hold, the regular run off the mill will certainly suffer... hang on tight mates... for its going to a long and bumpy ride